Knowledge Network Node
土壤圈(英文版). 2005, (05)

Simulating Hydrologic Changes with Climate Change Scenarios in the Haihe River BasinEnglish Full Text

YUAN Fei 1,2, XIE Zheng-Hui1,* 2, LIU Qian1 and XIA Jun 3 1LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 (China). 2 College of Water Resources and Environment, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098 (China)3 Institute of Geographical Science ＆ Natural Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101 (China)

Abstract: Climate change scenarios, predicted using the regional climate modeling system of PRECIS （providing regional cli-mates for impacts studies）, were used to derive three-layer variable infiltration capacity （VIC-3L） land surface model forthe simulation of hydrologic processes at a spatial resolution of 0.25° × 0.25° in the Haihe River Basin. Three climatescenarios were considered in this study: recent climate （1961-1990）, future climate A2 （1991-2100） and future climateB2 （1991-2100） with A2 and B2 being two storylines of future emissions developed with the Intergovernmental Panel onClimate Change （IPCC） special report on emissions scenarios. Overall, under future climate scenarios A2 and B2, theHaihe River Basin would experience warmer climate with increased precipitation, evaporation and runoff production ascompared with recent climate, but would be still likely prone to water shortages in the period of 2031-2070. In addition,under future climate A2 and B2, an increase in runoff during the wet season was noticed, indicating a future rise in theflood occurrence possibility in the Haihe River Basin.
Keywords：

climate change; regional climate modeling system; runoff; VIC-3L model;

  • Series：

    (D) Agriculture; (A) Mathematics/ Physics/ Mechanics/ Astronomy

  • Subject：

    Meteorology

  • Classification Code：

    P463;

  • Mobile Reading
    Read on your phone instantly
    Step 1

    Scan QR Codes

    "Mobile CNKI-CNKI Express" App

    Step 2

    Open“CNKI Express”

    and click the scan icon in the upper left corner of the homepage.

    Step 3

    Scan QR Codes

    Read this article on your phone.

  • CAJ Download
  • PDF Download

Download the mobile appuse the app to scan this coderead the article.

Tips: Please download CAJViewer to view CAJ format full text.

Download: 76 Pagecount: 6 Size: 193k

Related Literature
  • Similar Article
  • Reader Recommendation
  • Associated Author